Friday, November 13, 2009

Politics is Inherently Fraudulent

Politicking is lame. It seems like everyone knows that. But that's not all politics is. It's also fraudulent. I'll explain.

Every election there are couple guys (or girls) who say you should vote for them. The reasons they say you should vote for them is because they will do a whole bunch of things to improve your life and the life of everyone else in the country as a whole. They are selling their ability to improve the world.

They say they have positions and proposed solutions to just about everything. From stopping terrorism, spreading democracy, providing healthcare, lowering taxes, improving education, fix social security, balance the budget, etc, etc.

So essentially, person A says, "I'm going to fix and improve A, B, C, D... M, N, O, P."

The problem with this is person A specializes in Q, R, S.

Q = Sales
R = Public speaking
S = Some other speciality (medicine, law, business)

How exactly is someone who specializes in Q, R, S supposed to fix and improve A thru P?

Of course, the standard rebuttal is that the politician is not actually going to fix the problems. They will instead appoint people who are "experts" in the subject who will fix the problems.

True. But how exactly are people who don't know anything or know very little about an issue qualified to pick experts? In order to know who an expert is you need to have a relative amount of expertise to begin with. Someone who studies economics or physics and knows quite a bit about economics or physics is in a qualified position to evaluate and argue with someone else who also studies and knows about economics or physics.

A person who specializes in Q, R, S however has no way of actually evaluating who the experts on A, B, C are because he can't evaluate their ideas. All he can do is pick the "experts" based who who agree with him. This is selection bias.

In fact, the entire electoral process is like this. Voters usually don't know how to fix problems. That's why they pick bad politicians. And that's why problems exist.

Politics is the selling of services that the seller has no ability to provide. Therefore, it is inherently fraudulent.

This is just another example of people who know not what they speak of, yet they have a "loud and vociferous opinion" on the matter.

The is the economics of "democratic" command economies.

Compare this to the market.

In the market people do not know how to make an iPod or a computer or how to grow food or do very much at all. But they know if the product they purchase lives up to their expectations and was worth the price. The cheaper the product the less time and knowledge would be required to research the product. The more expensive, the wiser it would be to spend some time become a sort of expert by doing research. The market encourages people to behave responsibly and make educated decisions.

Politics makes people stupid by giving them a voice and encouraging that voice to be loud even when everything that comes out is complete nonsense.